Hawaii Bracing for Two Hurricanes

CPHC issuing advisories on ISELLE

Hurricane Iselle

 Hurricane Julio

Approaching Hawaii

Not one, but two Hurricanes are heading for the Hawaiian Islands.

Iselle still heading for the Big Island, maintaining hurricane intensity.  On the forecast track, the center of Iselle is expected to pass very near or over the Big Island Thursday night, and pass just south of the smaller islands Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph, 150 km/h, with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, but Iselle is now expected to be a hurricane as it passes near or over the Big Island.

Update: Iselle was classified as a tropical storm 11 p.m. Thursday Hawaii Standard Time when its winds slowed to 70 mph, putting it below the minimum of 74 mph for a hurricane. The storm is weakening because of several factors, including wind shear chopping at the system and the Big Island's terrain above the water, said Chris Brenchley, meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Honolulu.
 

NHC issuing advisories on Hurricane JULIO

HURRICANE JULIO
 

Early this morning, Julio strengthened to a Category 2 Hurricane.While there are no coastal watches and warnings currently in effect for this storm, interests in the Hawaiian Islands should monitor the progress of Julio.

Update: Hurricane Julio, a Category 3 storm, is about 1,000 miles behind Iselle in the Pacific.
Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph, 195 km/h, with higher gusts. Julio is a category three hurricane on the saffir-simpson hurricane wind scale. Gradual weakening is expected through Saturday. 

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE JULIO ARE EXPECTED TO 
PRODUCE BUILDING SURF ALONG MOST NORTH AND EAST FACING SHORES OF THE 
MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS STARTING TONIGHT...AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY 
NEXT WEEK.

 

CRUISE SHIP IMPACT

Weather Alert for Pride of America Guests

Updated Wednesday, August 6, 2014 @ 1:30 pm ET
At Norwegian Cruise Line, the safety and security of our guests and crew is of the utmost importance. Therefore, the company is closely monitoring the paths of Hurricanes Iselle and Julio in the Pacific.

At this time, we anticipate embarkation for Pride of America’s August 9 sailing will take place as scheduled. Should there be any updates, they will be immediately posted on Norwegian's site.

Not the storm you are looking for?  Click Image or Here

Full coverage of this, and all tropical storms, can be found on our Hurricane Zone page.   There are RSS feeds from the National Hurricane Center posted there giving you up to the minute information.   For storms that impact cruises, we will bring you information on those details as well.  Please bookmark that page for further reference during the Hurricane Season which runs now through November 30th.

Follow us on Twitter: @ChrisPappinMCC  Pinterest: CruiseWithChris Pappin and Facebook: CruiseWithChris Pappin Cruises Inc for more ideas.

FEMA ‏@fema 

For #Iselle & #Julio updates, follow : @NWSHonolulu, @FEMARegion9, @HI_CivilDefense, @Oahu_DEM, @HawaiiRedCross

NOAA 2010 Central Pacific Hurricane Prediction

NOAA CPHC Satellite Image

“Prepare! Watch! Act!”

NOAA’s Central Pacific Hurricane Center  (CPHC) announced that projected climate conditions point to a below normal hurricane season in the Central Pacific basin this year.
 

Central Pacific 

Hurricane Season

June 1 to November 30

The Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) issues tropical cyclone warnings, watches, advisories, discussions, and statements for all tropical cyclones in the Central Pacific from 140 Degrees West Longitude to the International Dateline.

The National Weather Service Forecast Office in Honolulu activates the CPHC when: (1) a tropical cyclone moves into the Central Pacific from the Eastern Pacific, (2) a tropical cyclone forms in the Central Pacific, or (3) a tropical cyclone moves into the Central Pacific from the West.

Not the storm you are looking for?  Click Image or Here

The seasonal hurricane outlook is produced in collaboration with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. For 2010, the outlook calls for a 70% chance of a below normal season, a 25% chance of a near normal season, and only a 5% chance of an above normal season.

An average season has four or five tropical cyclones, which includes tropical depressions, tropical storms and hurricanes.  NOAA's CPHC is predicting two to three tropical cyclones in the central Pacific during the 2010 season.

When formulating a tropical cyclone prediction, current climate patterns are compared with historical results.  The current model included two climate factors:  the ongoing low-activity era in the central Pacific, which partly reflects fewer eastern Pacific hurricanes moving into the region and the expectation of either ENSO-neutral or La Niña conditions in the equatorial Pacific, neither of which favors tropical cyclone activity in the central Pacific.

The outlook is a general guide to the overall seasonal hurricane activity and does not predict whether, where, when, or how many any of these systems will affect Hawaii.

As a service to my readers, we will monitor tropical storms and provide updates.   Starting June 1st, we'll add the RSS feeds so that you'll be able to get up to the minute forecasts and advisories from NOAA.   Cruise lines monitor tropical storms and may provide advisories of their own.   Those will also be shared with you.

Related Links

Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
Central Pacific Hurricane Center  (CPHC)
WMO Severe Weather Info Centre
National Hurricane Center (NHC)
NWS Regional Offices and Centers
Hurricane Preparedness

More links and information about tropical storms and other weather conditions can be found in the Weather tab above.

Updated Atlantic Hurricane Forecasts are due out this week.   It is anticipated that the Atlantic forecast will be more severe than the Pacific.    We will bring you the updated forecasts when they are published.

Related Blog Posts

Above Average 2010 Hurricane Forecast
NOAA 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
NOAA 2010 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season Outlook
NOAA 2010 Central Pacific Hurricane Prediction
Hurricane Hazards - Inland Flooding
Huricane Hazards - High Winds
Hurricane Hazards - Storm Surge
Hurricane Preparedness Week 2010
Travel With Protection Against Unexpected
Weather



Hurricane Preparedness Week  - May 23 - 29, 2010

Hurricane Neki - Central Pacific

Chart Courtesy of NOAA CHC 3:40 pm October 20, 2009

Click for Hawaiian watches, warnings and advisories.

CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC

NEKI DISSIPATING AS IT ACCELERATES INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC

NOTE: Hurricane Rick whcih we were tracking has also dissipated - there were been itinerary changes issued for that storm. <Follow Hurricane Rick - (click here)>

Much of the focus the past week has been on the Tropical Storms in the Atlantic. That doesn't mean that the Pacific is exempt from tropical storms and hurricanes this time of year. We have been watching that area closely also.

Once the NHC begins to monitor a storm, we'll add RSS feeds to this blog so that you can monitor the storm between posts. When developments become significant, we'll write a detailed article to help you plan your cruise vacation in the area.

UPDATE: 500 PM HST MON OCT 26 2009... NEKI DISSIPATING AS IT ACCELERATES INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC...

THE REMNANTS OF NEKI WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE RAPIDLY NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION TONIGHT.

NO FURTHER UPDATES WILL BE PROVIDED ON THIS STORM

Local Weather Statements

<More Details> <Warnings and 5-Day Cone >

<NWS Hawaii Forecast>

<NASA Hurricane Tracking>

Cruise Ship Tropical Storm Updates:
<CARNIVAL> <Norwegian Cruise Line> <Royal Caribbean>

Norwegian Cruise Line's Pride of America is the only ship in the area at the time, and is out of harms way, so there have been no ship advisories issued.

Live Cruise Ship and Ocean Liner Tracking:

<Interactive tracking map> See where ships are relative to tropical storms.

Cruise lines monitor weather forecasts and take passenger and crew safety into consideration. During hurricane season, there may be itinerary changes due to tropical storms, so be sure to monitor any storms in the area of your cruise vacation.

Continue to watch this blog for any tropical storm updates during this season.