Looking Back and Looking Ahead
Hurricane Season Approaching
The graphic above, courtesy of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)'s National Hurricane Center (NHC), was the scariest moment during the 2010 Hurricane Season. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) had predicted an active season, but having three active hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin at the same time was definitely something to keep the scientists on edge.
Looking Back at 2010
In the chart below, the numbers in parenthesis are the averages, so you can easily see that the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season was above average, with 2010 ranking as the tenth most active season since 1950.
In the chart below, the numbers in parenthesis are the averages, so you can easily see that the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season was above average, with 2010 ranking as the tenth most active season since 1950.
Atlantic Basin
| Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000 Climatology (in parentheses) | NOAA 2010 Prediction | 2010 Actual Results |
| Named Storms (NS) (9.6) | 14-23 | 19 |
| Hurricanes (H) (5.9) | 8 -14 | 12 |
| Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.3) | 3-7 | 5 |
| Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (96.1) | 155 - 270 | 190 |
For more details, read the complete NOAA 2010 Atlantic Seasonal Climate Summary
The 2010 Eastern Northern Pacific Hurricane Season was well below average. The seven named storms was the lowest amount since the advent of routine satellite imagery in the basin in 1971. The total number of three hurricanes was the lowest since 1971.
East Pacific
| Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000 Climatology (in parentheses) | NOAA 2010 Prediction | 2010 Actual Results |
| Named Storms (NS) (9.6) | 9 - 15 | 7 |
| Hurricanes (H) (5.9) | 4 - 8 | 3 |
| Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.3) | 1 - 3 | 2 |
| Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (96.1) | 45 - 105 | 50 |
Looking Ahead to 2011
As is customary, the Colorado State University releases its predictions in December and April. See our blog post, Colorado State University: Above Average 2011 Hurricane Forecst, for their 2011 predictions.
Atlantic Basin
| Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000 Climatology (in parentheses) | NOAA 2011 Prediction | CSU 2011 Prediction |
| Named Storms (NS) (9.6) | 12-18 | 16 |
| Hurricanes (H) (5.9) | 6-10 | 9 |
| Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.3) | 3-6 | 5 |
| Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (96.1) | 105 - 200 | 160 |
East Pacific
| Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000 Climatology (in parentheses) | NOAA 2011 Prediction |
| Named Storms (NS) (9.6) | 9 - 15 |
| Hurricanes (H) (5.9) | 5 - 8 |
| Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.3) | 1 - 3 |
| Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (96.1) | 45 -105 |
Based on these early season predictions, it would appear that the Atlantic Basic will be active again while the Pacific will remain relatively below average.
Hurricane Season Dates
Hurricane season in the Atlantic begins June 1st and ends November 30th. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season begins May 15th and also ends November 30th.
RELATED BLOG POSTS:
Hurricane East Coast Awareness Tour 2011
Above Average 2011 Hurricane Forecast
This article starts our 2011 Hurricane Preparedness Series
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