Hurricane Lane Alters Cruise Itinerary

2-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook | 5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Hurricane Lane

Dangerous Hurricane Lane approaches the main Hawaiian Islands.  The Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) in Honolulu Hawaii predicts a slow northward motion to begin this afternoon and continue through Friday. A turn toward the west is expected Saturday and Sunday, with an increase in forward speed.

The latest forecast track from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center brings the center of Lane dangerously close to the main Hawaiian Islands Thursday afternoon through Saturday.

Regardless of the exact track, life threatening impacts are likely over many areas as this strong hurricane makes its closest approach. Do not focus on the exact forecast track or intensity of Lane. Be prepared for changes in future forecasts. Although the official forecast does not explicitly indicate Lane's center making landfall over any of the islands, this could still occur.

CPHC issuing advisories for the Central Pacific on LANE

Not the storm you are looking for?  Click Image or Here

Full coverage of this, and all tropical storms, can be found on our Hurricane Zone page.   There are RSS feeds from the National Hurricane Center posted there giving you up to the minute information.   For storms that impact cruises, we will bring you information on those details as well.  Please bookmark that page for further reference during the Hurricane Season which runs now through November 30th.

HURRICANE LANE	23 Aug 2018 11:13 am HST ...LANE MOVING NORTH-WESTWARD AS A POWERFUL CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
WIND:	near 130 mph with higher gusts
WATCHES/ WARNINGS:	Hurricane Watch: Kauai Leeward, Kauai Mountains, Kauai Windward, and Niihau Hurricane Warning: Big Island Interior, Big Island North and East, Big Island Summits, Central Oahu, Haleakala Summit, Kahoolawe, Kohala, Kona, Lanai Makai, Lanai Mauka, Leeward Haleakala, Maui Central Valley, Maui Leeward West, Maui Windward West, Molokai Leeward, Molokai Windward, Oahu Koolau, Oahu North Shore, Oahu South Shore, Olomana, South Big Island, Waianae Coast, Waianae Mountains, and Windward Haleakala
SHIP IMPACT:	Pride of America - Hurricane Lane Update August 23, 2018 at 9:30 PM ET (1:30 AM UTC)  Due to Hurricane Lane in the Pacific, Norwegian Cruise Line has modified the itinerary for Pride of America. The ship is currently out at sea, away from the storm. Pride of America is expected to return to Honolulu on Sunday, August 26th. The previously scheduled August 25th sailing will be delayed until Monday, August 27th. Embarkation will be available on both Sunday, August 26th and Monday, August 27th.   Monitor the following link for the latest updates: Norwegian: Weather Alert

2016 Hurricane Preparedness - Getting Info

Hurricane Information TV, web, social media - only use trusted sources for the latest hurricane information! NOAA's National Hurricane Center is your official source for Atlantic hurricane forecasts and the issuance of hurricane watches and warnings. In addition, your local NOAA National Weather Service forecast office provides information regarding the expected impacts from the storm for your area. http://www.hurricanes.gov/ http://hurricanes.gov/prepare https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?cpac

Forecast Process

We continue our coverage of the 2016 Hurricane Preparedness Week by looking at the tropical weather forecasting process. 

Update on National Hurricane Center Products and Services for 2016 (PDF)

6 Hour Forecast Cycle When a storm threatens the following occurs 0:00 A new hurricane forecast cycle begins. 0:45 Receive the location of the center of the hurricane. 1:00 Initialize or start the hurricane models with the storm's location and intensity 1:20 Receive model guidance and prepare a new hurricane forecast. 2:00 Coordinate with National Weather Service and Dept. of Defense. 3:00 Issue the full hurricane advisory package. ISSUANCE TIME: 5am EDT (4 CDT) 11am EDT (10 CDT) 5pm EDT (4 CDT) 11pm EDT (10 CDT) 3:15 Participate in the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) conference call with the affected states. 6:00 A new hurricane forecast cycle begins. ** When a Watch or a Warning is issued, intermediate advisories are initiated. MORE INFO ON FORECAST PRODUCTS Source:  NHC: Forecast Process (Learn More)

Part of the mission of the National Weather Service (NWS) Tropical Prediction Center (TPC) is to save lives and protect property by issuing watches, warnings, forecasts, and analyses of hazardous weather conditions in the tropics. This section provides information about the roles of those responsible for providing hurricane information to emergency managers and decision makers. The TPC is comprised of the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch (TAFB), and the Technical Support Branch (TSB). During hurricane season, the latter two provide support to the NHC. The local NWS Weather Forecast Offices (WFOs) in hurricane-prone areas are also important participants in the forecast process. OBSERVATION Observations including satellites, buoys, reconnaissance aircraft, and radar are the basis for all forecast and warning products issued by the NHC. Quality, quantity, and timeliness of remote sensing observations are critical for accurate and timely forecasts and warnings. ANALYSIS The various observations are checked for quality, analyzed, and put into a suite of computer models.  MODEL GUIDANCE AND INTERPRETATION The computer models take in the observations and perform millions of calculations to generate predictions of hurricane behavior and the general conditions of the atmosphere in which the hurricane is embedded. The model results are packaged as guidance for the appropriate national centers and local offices and for evaluation and use in the NWS's forecast and warning process. COORDINATION WITHIN THE NWS Forecasts and warnings are coordinated between the national centers and local forecast offices to provide consistency, which is critical during severe weather episodes.

Read Entire Series (click here)

More links and information about tropical storms and other weather conditions can be found in the Weather & Hurricane Zone tabs above.


Hurricane Preparedness Week:   May 15 - May 21, 2016

Hurricane Ignacio Impacts Pride of America

Hurricane Ignacio

Hurricane Ignacio is the latest tropical cyclone in this busy 2015 eastern Pacific hurricane season to pose potential danger for the Hawaiian Islands. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) in Honolulu Hawaii predicts that Ignacio will still be a hurricane when it passes to the northeast of Hawaii in the next several days.

CPHC issuing advisories for the Central Pacific on IGNACIO

Not the storm you are looking for?  Click Image or Here

Full coverage of this, and all tropical storms, can be found on our Hurricane Zone page.   There are RSS feeds from the National Hurricane Center posted there giving you up to the minute information.   For storms that impact cruises, we will bring you information on those details as well.  Please bookmark that page for further reference during the Hurricane Season which runs now through November 30th.

HURRICANE IGNACIO	800 AM PDT SAT AUG 29 2015 ...JIMENA MOVING WESTWARD AS A POWERFUL CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
WIND:	near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher gusts
WATCHES/ WARNINGS:	There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
SHIP IMPACT:	Due to Hurricane Ignacio in the Pacific, Pride of America's itinerary for the cruise departing on August 29 has been adjusted to call on Nawiliwili on Sunday where the ship will overnight, followed by Hilo on Wednesday, Kahului on Thursday where the ship will overnight and returning to Honolulu on Saturday. Monitor the following link for the latest updates: Norwegian: Weather Alert

 

Storm Archive       Graphics Archive  

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
 

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
     
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

NHC ACTIVE STORMS (CLICK HERE)

Real-Time Cruise Ship Tracking

MORE INFORMATION ABOUT HURRICANES (CLICK HERE)

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

None.

HISTORICAL NOTES

300 PM MDT WED AUG 26 2015

...ANOTHER TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL WEST OF MEXICO...
...NO THREAT TO LAND...

800 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2015

...JIMENA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY...


200 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 2015

...JIMENA BECOMES THE EIGHTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...

200 PM PDT FRI AUG 28 2015

...JIMENA NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...

800 PM PDT FRI AUG 28 2015

...JIMENA BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE...
...EXPECTED TO BE NEAR CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH ON SATURDAY...

NOAA Expects Below-normal Central Pacific Hurricane Season

NOAA’s Central Pacific Hurricane Center today announced that climate conditions point to a below-normal season in the Central Pacific Basin this year.

For 2013, the outlook calls for a 70 percent chance of a below-normal season, a 25 percent chance of a near-normal season, and a 5 percent chance of an above-normal season. We expect 1 to 3 tropical cyclones to affect the central Pacific this season. An average season has 4 to 5 tropical cyclones, which include tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes.

NOAA issued its central Pacific hurricane outlook at a news conference in Honolulu, and urged Hawaii residents to be fully prepared before the hurricane season, which begins June 1 and runs until Nov. 30.

“I encourage the public to become weather-ready by signing up for weather alerts, developing a family emergency plan, and building an emergency kit before hurricane season begins,” said Ray Tanabe, director of NOAA’s Central Pacific Hurricane Center. “Just because the season is predicted to be 'below normal' does not mean that a single storm cannot have significant impacts.” 

Be Prepared

For those of you that were Boy Scouts, you are very familiar with the slogan "Be Prepared".    When it comes to seasonal weather, like the hurricane season,  nothing could be more important than following that advice.   As we've seen this week in other parts of the country, storms can develop quickly with or without warning and knowing what to do can mean the difference between life and death.

Next week is National Hurricane Preparedness Week and we will cover topics that will help you prepare for the upcoming season.   Obviously those living in regions where hurricanes occur on a regular basis should pay close attention but in this day and age where people travel across the country and globe, you can find yourself in an area that is experiencing severe weather, like a tropical storm, and knowing what to do will be very important.

Monitor our Hurricane Zone Page 

Throughout Hurricane Season

Not the storm you are looking for?  Click Image or Here

NHC ACTIVE STORMS (CLICK HERE)

Real-Time Cruise Ship Tracking

MORE INFORMATION ABOUT HURRICANES (CLICK HERE)

NOAA 2010 Central Pacific Hurricane Prediction

NOAA CPHC Satellite Image

“Prepare! Watch! Act!”

NOAA’s Central Pacific Hurricane Center  (CPHC) announced that projected climate conditions point to a below normal hurricane season in the Central Pacific basin this year.
 

Central Pacific 

Hurricane Season

June 1 to November 30

The Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) issues tropical cyclone warnings, watches, advisories, discussions, and statements for all tropical cyclones in the Central Pacific from 140 Degrees West Longitude to the International Dateline.

The National Weather Service Forecast Office in Honolulu activates the CPHC when: (1) a tropical cyclone moves into the Central Pacific from the Eastern Pacific, (2) a tropical cyclone forms in the Central Pacific, or (3) a tropical cyclone moves into the Central Pacific from the West.

Not the storm you are looking for?  Click Image or Here

The seasonal hurricane outlook is produced in collaboration with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. For 2010, the outlook calls for a 70% chance of a below normal season, a 25% chance of a near normal season, and only a 5% chance of an above normal season.

An average season has four or five tropical cyclones, which includes tropical depressions, tropical storms and hurricanes.  NOAA's CPHC is predicting two to three tropical cyclones in the central Pacific during the 2010 season.

When formulating a tropical cyclone prediction, current climate patterns are compared with historical results.  The current model included two climate factors:  the ongoing low-activity era in the central Pacific, which partly reflects fewer eastern Pacific hurricanes moving into the region and the expectation of either ENSO-neutral or La Niña conditions in the equatorial Pacific, neither of which favors tropical cyclone activity in the central Pacific.

The outlook is a general guide to the overall seasonal hurricane activity and does not predict whether, where, when, or how many any of these systems will affect Hawaii.

As a service to my readers, we will monitor tropical storms and provide updates.   Starting June 1st, we'll add the RSS feeds so that you'll be able to get up to the minute forecasts and advisories from NOAA.   Cruise lines monitor tropical storms and may provide advisories of their own.   Those will also be shared with you.

Related Links

Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
Central Pacific Hurricane Center  (CPHC)
WMO Severe Weather Info Centre
National Hurricane Center (NHC)
NWS Regional Offices and Centers
Hurricane Preparedness

More links and information about tropical storms and other weather conditions can be found in the Weather tab above.

Updated Atlantic Hurricane Forecasts are due out this week.   It is anticipated that the Atlantic forecast will be more severe than the Pacific.    We will bring you the updated forecasts when they are published.

Related Blog Posts

Above Average 2010 Hurricane Forecast
NOAA 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
NOAA 2010 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season Outlook
NOAA 2010 Central Pacific Hurricane Prediction
Hurricane Hazards - Inland Flooding
Huricane Hazards - High Winds
Hurricane Hazards - Storm Surge
Hurricane Preparedness Week 2010
Travel With Protection Against Unexpected
Weather



Hurricane Preparedness Week  - May 23 - 29, 2010