Sunday, May 20, 2012

Tropical Depression 2E Forms in East Pacific



TD 2E (TS Bud) Forms in East Pacific
Becomes the First Hurricane of Season

NHC issuing advisories on TS BUD

800 PM PDT FRI MAY 25 2012

...BUD CONTINUES TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
Last year, the first few storms of the East Pacific Hurricane Season became Hurricanes.  So far this year we've had one named storm and the second Tropical Depression looks like it will strengthen into named storm TS Bud and potentially continue to grow in intensity and become a hurricane. The current 5-day track has it making landfall.

Bud is a Category Two Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane wind scale. Some weakening is forecast on Friday, but Bud is still expected to reach the coast of Mexico as a hurricane.


CRUISE SHIP IMPACT

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

No reported cruise ship itinerary changes at this time.
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 105.6W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES




WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO WESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.   ADDITIONAL RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND
BUD IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SATURDAY.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE AFFECTING THE COAST OF MEXICO
IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA LATER TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY.

RAINFALL...BUD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 10 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO IN THE STATES
OF MICHOACAN...COLIMA...JALISCO AND SOUTHERN NAYARIT...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING
NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF BUD MAKES LANDFALL.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DAMAGING WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY BUD ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COASTS OF MEXICO.  THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
Historical Data :    Graphics   Archive  

800 PM PDT SUN MAY 20 2012

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH OF ACAPULCO...EXPECTED
TO STRENGTHEN...
 
200 AM PDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...SECOND TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2012 HURRICANE SEASON FORMS... 
 
800 PM PDT WED MAY 23 2012

...BUD ALMOST A HURRICANE...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PART OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... 


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