|5-Day Forecast Cone for Hurricane Paula (Credit: NOAA NHC)|
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UPDATE: 1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 15 2010 ...PAULA WEAKENS TO A REMNANT LOW... THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
PAULA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ALONG THE NORTH COAST
OR OVER WESTERN CUBA TODAY (Thursday Oct. 14).
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION (14 Oct)
LOCATION...22.7N 84.5W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM...W OF PUERTO ESPERANZA ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM W OF HAVANA CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A VERY SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER. PAULA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. PAULA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. PAULA REMAINS A SMALL HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM. THE WEATHER STATION LOCATED IN THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA RECENTLY REPORTED A 60 MPH...97 KM/HR WIND GUST. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
Carnival Valor revised itinerary includes stops in Ocho Rios (Wednesday) and Nassau (Friday). The original voyage called for stops in Roatan, Belize and Cozumel.
Carnival Legend, will no longer visit Cozumel (Wednesday), Roatan (Thursday) and Belize (Friday). The ship will now call in Ocho Rios in Jamaica on Thursday (a three-for-one trade).
Carnival Ecstasy will no longer call in Progreso and Cozumel as originally planned. The ship is swapping two ports for one and will call in Veracruz on Wednesday instead.
Carnival Triumph is also swapping two ports for one to avoid Paula. Instead of stopping in Progreso and Cozumel, the ship will visit Key West on Wednesday.
Carnival Conquest revised itinerary features calls in Montego Bay (Wednesday) and Key West (Friday) instead of Montego Bay, Grand Cayman and Cozumel as originally planned.
Because some cruises have been dramatically altered, Carnival is offering compensation to some impacted passengers. Carnival will continue to monitor the situation and make additional changes if needed.
NCL Weather Update
NCL indicates that all ships are currently operating as scheduled. They will continue to monitor Hurricane Paula and make changes if needed. Click on the link above for current update.