Friday, October 22, 2010

Tropical Storm Richard Forms in Caribbean

TS Richard Courtesy NHC


UPDATE: 
 700 AM CDT MON OCT 25 2010
...RICHARD CONTINUES WEAKENING INLAND OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA...
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We are keeping watch on this developing tropical storm.  It is expected to strengthen into a 
hurricane over the weekend.   There are no cruise ships impacted by the storm at this time.

As predicted, the storm strengthened into a Category ONE Hurricane but has now weakened.
NHC issuing advisories on TS  RICHARD
 

Discussion & Outlook
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION (25 Oct)
 
LOCATION...17.7N 89.9W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

THE CENTER OF RICHARD WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO TODAY AND INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT
OR EARLY TUESDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AND RICHARD
WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.  
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

RAINFALL...RICHARD IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN GUATEMALA...AND THE MEXICAN
STATES OF QUINTANA ROO AND CAMPECHE...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF AROUND 10 INCHES.  AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER BELIZE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF QUINTANA ROO AND
CAMPECHE...AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN GUATEMALA OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.  THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING.

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