Showing posts with label landfall. Show all posts
Showing posts with label landfall. Show all posts

Friday, October 23, 2015

Patricia Strongest Hurricane Recorded Impacts Cruises & Ports

Other images: 5-Day track off3-Day track off 


Hurricane Patricia
UPDATE: OCT 24

Hurricane Patricia made landfall at the speed of 165 MPH and then quickly began to weaken.  Early reports indicated that it would not be as catastrophic as predicted, fortunately.   We have gotten word that AM Resorts and the airport in Puerto Vallarta has reopened for example, so that is very good news.   

Emergency Message for U.S. Citizens: Hurricane Patricia Dated: October 24, 2015

~~~~~~~~

The largest hurricane to ever assault the Western Hemisphere headed toward Mexico’s southwest Pacific coast on Friday with 200 MPH winds. Patricia was expected to make landfall by early evening, according to Mexico’s national weather service, with the eye passing along the small beach towns of Playa Perula and Playa Chamela, both in the state of Jalisco. The government of Mexico declared a state of emergency in dozens of municipalities in the states of Colima, Nayarit and Jalisco.

Hurricane Patricia is expected to remain a Category 5 hurricane until landfall in southwestern Mexico in a few hours. After landfall, a combination of the mountainous terrain of Mexico and increasing shear should cause the cyclone to rapidly weaken, with the system likely to dissipate completely after 36 hours, if not sooner.

NHC issuing advisories for the Eastern Pacific on Hurricane PATRICIA
CPHC issuing advisories for the Central Pacific on OLAF
 

Full coverage of this, and all tropical storms, can be found on our Hurricane Zone page.   There are RSS feeds from the National Hurricane Center posted there giving you up to the minute information.   For storms that impact cruises, we will bring you information on those details as well.  Please bookmark that page for further reference during the Hurricane Season which runs now through November 30th.


HURRICANE PATRICIA
400 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015

...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE PATRICIA SHOULD MAKE
LANDFALL IN MEXICO IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...
WIND:
190 MPH...305 KM/H with higher gusts
WATCHES/ WARNINGS:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* San Blas to Punta San Telmo

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas
* North of San Blas to El Roblito
 
SHIP IMPACT:
Princess Cruises cancelled  Ruby Princess'scheduled call 
at Cabo San Lucas Friday, October 23, due to swells. The
 ship will return to Los Angeles Sunday, October 25, as scheduled.
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
     
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.


MORE INFORMATION ABOUT HURRICANES (CLICK HERE)

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND:  Hurricane conditions should spread across the hurricane
warning area during the next few hours, with the worst conditions
occurring near where the eye of Patricia makes landfall.  Tropical
storm conditions are spreading across portions of the warning area.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.  Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane
watch area this afternoon and this evening.

RAINFALL:  Patricia is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 8 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20
inches, over the Mexican states of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima,
Michoacan, and Guerrero through Saturday.  These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

STORM SURGE:  An extremely dangerous storm surge is expected to
produce significant coastal flooding near and to the right of where
the center makes landfall.  Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.

SURF:  Swells generated by Patricia are already affecting portions
of the southern coast of Mexico, and will spread northwestward
during the next day or so.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.



HISTORICAL NOTES

1000 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...
 
1000 PM CDT TUE OCT 20 2015

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE SIXTEENTH TROPICAL STORM OF
THE SEASON SOUTH OF MEXICO... 
 
400 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015

...NOAA PLANE FINDS PATRICIA STRONGER AND FARTHER WEST...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO...
 
400 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015

...PATRICIA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...LIKELY TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY...
 
100 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND PATRICA IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA TODAY...
 
1230 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015

...CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE PATRICIA STRENGTHENS EVEN MORE...
...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATER
TODAY...
 
1000 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015

...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE PATRICIA MOVING NORTHWARD
TOWARD LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
 
 

Thursday, June 20, 2013

Tropical Storm Barry Second Atlantic Storm for 2013

Tropical Storm Barry

Storm Archive            Graphics Archive

Tropical Storm BARRY 

 

Tropical Depression Two strengthened into a named Tropical Storm just prior to making landfall in Mexico as predicted. Once it makes landfall, the storm will disorganize later today or tomorrow.


700 AM CDT THU JUN 20 2013
 
...CENTER OF BARRY VERY NEAR THE COAST IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ
MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 96.4W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM NW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...5 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO TUXPAN MEXICO

 

Saturday, October 13, 2012

Tropical Storm Paul Forms in East Pacific


Click (here) for Interactive Map
Tropical Storm Paul
South of Baja California
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...TROPICAL STORM PAUL INTENSIFYING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA MEXICO... 


Not the storm you are looking for?  Click Image or Here

See where ships are relative to tropical storms
Interactive tracking map (real-time ship tracking)

Tropical Storm Paul is south of Baja California and growing in strength.  It is expected to become a hurricane on Sunday and make landfall mid-week.  If you will be in this area, you should monitor its progress.

 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 114.1W
ABOUT 660 MI...1065 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 
 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
PAUL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY. 
 
 
 
 
HISTORICAL DATA:    Storm Archive     Graphics Archive      

800 PM PDT SAT OCT 13 2012

...TROPICAL STORM PAUL INTENSIFYING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA MEXICO... 
 
 
200 PM PDT SAT OCT 13 2012
 
...TROPICAL STORM PAUL FORMS WELL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA...




Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Tale of Two Hurricanes Seven Years Apart

On this the eve of the seventh anniversary of Hurricane Katrina, Louisiana and the Gulf Coast were once again bracing for the impact of a hurricane.

Katrina was an extraordinarily powerful and deadly hurricane that first caused fatalities and damage in southern Florida as a Category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale. After reaching Category 5 intensity over the central Gulf of Mexico, Katrina weakened to Category 3 before making landfall on the northern Gulf coast.

Even so, the damage and loss of life inflicted by this massive hurricane in Louisiana and Mississippi were staggering, with significant effects extending into the Florida panhandle, Georgia, and Alabama. Considering the scope of its impacts, Katrina was one of the most devastating natural disasters in United States history.

New Orleans was severely impacted by Katrina, and has since rebuilt the levees that failed them back in 2005.   The burning question for town residents tonight was - would they hold with this latest approaching storm.

Fortunately, Hurricane Isaac was a much weaker storm, but don't let that fool you.  It had the potential to bring heavy rains, flooding, power outages, damaging winds, and all the hazards associated with tropical cyclones.

Isaac, which spans more than 200 miles, made landfall at about 6:45 p.m. local time near the mouth of the Mississippi River. New Orleans, about 75 miles to the northwest, was a ghost town as residents and tourists heeded warnings to stay indoors.   Except for low-lying areas which were under mandatory evacuation orders, the majority of the folks stayed here to ride out the storm.

Following is a comparison of the two storms.   We trace some of the significant milestones as the two storms headed from the Atlantic to the Caribbean Sea and into the Gulf of Mexico before making landfall.  For those that want even more information, see the storm and graphic archives on the NHC website.

For  Latest Impact (click here):  Tropical Storm Isaac in Atlantic

 

DATE / TIME KATRINA 2005 ISAAC 2012
Storm Archive
Storm Archive 
Storm Milestones, Watches & Warnings Issued
21 AUG
500 AM AST TUE AUG 21 2012
TD-9 forms east of Lesser Antilles, 
TS Warnings / Watches issued
1007 MB / 35 MPH
 
500 PM AST TUE AUG 21 2012
Strengthens to tropical storm 
1006 MB / 40 MPH 
 

1100 PM AST TUE AUG 21 2012
Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands 

22 AUG
500 AM AST WED AUG 22 2012
Dominican Republic
1003 MB / 45 MPH 
 
800 AM AST WED AUG 22 2012
British Virgin Islands 
1004 MB / 45 MPH  
 
200 PM AST WED AUG 22 2012
Leeward Islands
1006 MB / 45 MPH 

500 PM AST WED AUG 22 2012
Haiti
1004 MB / 45 MPH  
 
1100 PM AST WED AUG 22 2012
Eastern Caribbean
1003 MB / 45 MPH 

23 AUG
500 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2005
TD 12 forms - Bahamas
TS Warnings issued
1007 MB / 35 MPH
 
1100 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2005
Florida Keys, East coast
1007 MB / 35 MPH
 
 
1100 AM AST THU AUG 23 2012
South of Virgin Islands
1003 MB / 40 MPH 
 

500 PM AST THU AUG 23 2012
Bahamas, Cuba
1003 MB / 40 MPH 
 
1100 PM AST THU AUG 23 2012
Hispaniola
1001 MB / 45 MPH 
24 AUG
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2005
Becomes tropical storm
Bahamas, Florida
1006 MB / 40 MPH  

500 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2005
SE Florida
1002 MB / 45 MPH  
 
1100 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2005  
Hurricane warnings
1001 MB / 50 MPH
800 AM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012
Jamaica
1000 MB / 50 MPH 
 
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012
Southern Hisapniola
997 MB / 50 MPH
 
1100 PM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012
Haiti Landfall
990 MB / 70 MPH
   
25 AUG
800 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2005
Better organized
999 MB / 50 MPH 

1100 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2005
Florida straits
997 MB / 60 MPH 
 
300 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2005 

Near hurricane strength
990 MB / 70 MPH 
500 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2005
Cat 1 Hurricane
985 MB / 75 MPH 
 
900 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2005 
Eye over NHC
984 MB / 80 MPH
 
1100 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2005
Eye over Miami-Dade
984 MB / 75 MPH
 
500 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012
South Florida, Keys
992 MB / 60 MPH
 
1100 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012
Florida East Coast
998 MB / 60 MPH
 
200 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012
East Coast Cuba
1000 MB / 60 MPH
  
1100 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012
Straits of Florida
997 MB / 60 MPH
 
26 AUG
100 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005
Weakens over land
980 MB / 70 MPH
 
700 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005
Westward over Gulf
987 MB / 75 MPH 
 
1100 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005
Stronger - West of Florida
981 MB / 80 MPH 
 
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005
Cat 2 Hurricane
969 MB / 100 MPH 
 
1100 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005
Expected to intensify
965 MB / 105 MPH
  
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012
Florida Keys
995 MB / 65 MPH
 
500 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012 
Key West
992 MB / 60 MPH
 
1100 PM EDT SUN AUG 26 2012
Eastern Gulf of Mexico
993 MB / 65 MPH 
  
27 AUG
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2005
963 MB / 110 MPH
 
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2005 
Cat 3 Hurricane
940 MB / 115 MPH
 
400 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2005
Louisiana
945 MB / 115 MPH
 
1000 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2005 
Threat North Central Gulf
939 MB / 115 MPH
  
500 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012
Louisiana Coast
990 MB / 65 MPH 
 
1000 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 
Eastern Gulf of Mexico
988 MB / 65 MPH 
 
400 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
Storm surge threat
981 MB / 70 MPH
 
1000 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
Flooding threat
979 MB / 70 MPH
   
28 AUG
100 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005
Cat 4 Hurricane
New Orleans
935 MB / 145 MPH
 
700 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005
Cat 5 Hurricane
Northern Gulf Coast
908 MB / 165 MPH
 
100 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005
Still Cat 5
906 MB / 175 MPH 
 

1000 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005
Cat 5
904 MB / 160 MPH 
   
400 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
Verge of becoming hurricane
977 MB / 70 MPH
 
1120 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
Becomes Cat 1 Hurricane
975 MB / 75 MPH
 
700 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
Landfall Extreme SE Louisiana
970 MB / 80 MPH 
 
1000 PM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012
Dangerous storm surge; flooding
968 MB / 80 MPH     
29 AUG
MIDNIGHT CDT MON AUG 29 2005
Nearing Louisiana coast
908 MB / 160 MPH 
 
600 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 
Cat 4 Near Shore
918 MB / 145 MPH
 
800 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005
Pounding SE Louisiana
923 MB / 135 MPH 
 

1000 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005
Weakens to Cat 3
Moving ashore near Louisiana
& Mississippi border
927 MB / 125 MPH 
 

NOON CDT MON AUG 29 2005
Weakens to Cat 2 over land
940 MB / 105 MPH 
 
400 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005 
Weakens to Cat 1
960 MB / 75 MPH 
 

700 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005
Now a tropical storm
965 MB / 65 MPH 
 
1000 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005
Coastal warnings discontinued
973 MB / 60 MPH 
1200 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012
Coast of Louisiana
969 MB / 80 MPH 

200 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012
Nearly  stationary
968 MB / 80 MPH     
 
300 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012
Second landfall 
969 MB / 80 MPH 
 
400 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012 
Begins Moving Inland
969 MB / 80 MPH
 
600 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012
Floods and heavy rains continue
970 MB / 80 MPH  
 
800 AM CDT WED AUG 29 2012 
970 MB / 80 MPH 

1200 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012
SE Louisiana / Mississippi Rains
973 MB / 75 MPH 

200 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012 
Weakens to Tropical Storm
974 MB / 70 MPH 

700 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012
Slow moving - only 6 MPH
977 MB / 60 MPH 
 
1000 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012
Only moved 60 miles all day
980 MB / 60 MPH 
 
30 AUG
400 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005
Weakens further
981MB / 50 MPH 
 
1000 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005
Still heavy rainfall
Weakens to tropical depression
985 MB / 35 MPH 
100 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012
Heavy Rains & Severe Weather
Farther inland Louisiana
981 MB / 50 MPH 

400 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012
983 MB / 45 MPH 
 
1000 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012
987 MB / 40 MPH  

400 PM CDT THU AUG 30 2012
Weakens to Tropical Depression
995 MB / 35 MPH   
  
31 AUG  
No Advisories Issued
 
No Advisories Issued

Friday, August 3, 2012

Tropical Storm Ernesto Forms in Atlantic


(Graphic) Tropical Storm Ernesto
Click (here) for Interactive Map
Tropical Storm Ernesto
  5th Named Storm for Atlantic 2012 Season
700 PM CDT WED AUG 08 2012

...ERNESTO MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST OF THE
MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE...SQUALLS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL LASHING 
THE STATE OF CAMPECHE...
 
The fifth Atlantic Ocean tropical depression strengthened into Tropical Storm Ernesto on Thursday, August 2 at 5 p.m. EDT and tracked over St. Lucia early on August 3. Tropical storm warnings were posted for much of the area, but have now been discontinued. Ernesto continued its march towards the Western Caribbean Sea and dumped heavy rains on the region.   It grew to Hurricane strength just before making landfall in Mexico.  It currently has weakened but may regenerate into a hurricane again.

CRUISE SHIP ITINERARY IMPACT
----------------------------
Carnival Triumph, which departed Galveston today, has been impacted by Ernesto.
It had been scheduled to visit Progreso on Monday and Cozumel on Tuesday.
The ports have been swapped. 

Unconfirmed reports say that Disney Fantasy, is now sailing an Eastern
instead of Western Caribbean route to avoid the storm.

Carnival Itinerary Changes (click on this link for updates & more details)
-- Carnival Freedom (Aug. 5th) will swap ports
-- Carnival Legend (Aug. 5th) will replace Belize & Honduras with Montego Bay
-- Carnival Magic (Aug. 5th) won't sail original itinerary - two options listed
-- Carnival Dream (Aug. 5th) called on Cozumel, then switched to Eastern itinerary

Real-Time Cruise Ship Tracking
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 91.5W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM ENE OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO BARRA DE NAUTLA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND LATER ON
THURSDAY.
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WESTWARD
ACROSS THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ON
THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM OF 12 INCHES
OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF TABASCO AND VERACRUZ.  ERNESTO IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
OVER NORTHERN BELIZE...NORTHERN GUATEMALA...THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN
PENINSULA.  THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS LIKELY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
 
Historical Data:  Graphics   Storm Archive  

500 PM AST WED AUG 01 2012
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS... 
 
500 PM AST THU AUG 02 2012
 
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO FIFTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE
SEASON...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES...
  
200 AM AST FRI AUG 03 2012
 
...CENTER OF ERNESTO PASSING NORTH OF BARBADOS...EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...
 
1100 AM AST FRI AUG 03 2012
 
...ERNESTO MOVING AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED... 
 
800 AM ADT SAT AUG 04 2012
 
AT 8 AM ADT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA. 
 
800 AM EDT MON AUG 06 2012
 
...ERNESTO EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE COAST OF
HONDURAS TONIGHT... 
 
500 PM EDT SAT AUG 04 2012
 
...ERNESTO RACING WESTWARD TOWARD THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... 
 
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 07 2012
 
...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT ERNESTO HAS BECOME A
HURRICANE... 
 
1015 PM CDT TUE AUG 07 2012
 
...BELIZE RADAR INDICATES ERNESTO HAS MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE
SOUTHERN YUCATAN COAST... 
 
 

Saturday, September 24, 2011

Heavy Rains from Typhoon Roke

› View larger image  
Credit: SSAI/NASA, Hal Pierce


Typhoon Roke
(Western North Pacific Ocean)

Makes Landfall 
Along Southeast 
Coast of Honshu

This rainfall map was created from TRMM satellite data from Sept. 15 to 22, 2011 over and around Japan. It shows a band of very heavy rain stretching northeastward from eastern Kyushu across Shikoku and into southern Honshu from 300 mm (~12 inches, shown in green) to in excess of 550 mm (~22 inches, shown in red). Rainfall of 50 mm/~2 inches appear in light blue, and over 150 mm (~6 inches are shown in blue. )The thin black line is Roke's track, storm symbols mark Roke's 6-hourly positions.) Credit: SSAI/NASA, Hal Pierce 


Heavy Rainfall in  Japan's Honshu Region

We don't generally monitor tropical storms in the Western North Pacific Ocean during the Atlantic and East Pacific Hurricane Season of June - November but Typhoon Roke warrants mention.   Earlier this year Honshu, Japan suffered a series of devastating earthquakes and a tsunami which cancelled cruises, damaged property, injured and killed many people, and put the country at the brink of a major nuclear disaster.   Still recovering from that devastation, Honshu found itself in the path of Typhoon Roke which made landfall as a Category 1 Typhoon.   It had been as high as a Category 4 Typhoon earlier.

Landslides and flooding triggered by Typhoon Roke left as many as 13 people dead or missing. Authorities had urged more than 2.2 million residents across the country to evacuate their homes as the storm moved north, but it wasn't clear how many had left.

Officials at the troubled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, where engineers are still struggling with small radiation leaks due to tsunami damage, said that the typhoon's driving winds and rain caused no immediate problems there other than a broken security camera.

Typhoon Roke came less than three weeks after Typhoon Talas, which, after landfall September 3rd, became the deadliest typhoon to rip through Japan in three decades.

Talas left more than 100 people dead or missing as record rainfall triggered mudslides and flooding in the country's central region, the highest death toll since Typhoon Tip in 1979, when 110 people were killed.

The Japan Meteorological Agency said Roke was smaller than Talas, but its wind strength was more formidable.
 
Typhoons

A tropical storm in the West Pacific, when it intensifies, becomes a Typhoon. A typhoon is a tropical storm with sustained winds in excess of 119 km/h or approximately 74 mph.

Names for most severe storms on earth:

When the winds are sustained (based on a one-minute average) at 74 mph (64 knots; 119 km/hr), the storm becomes: In the Atlantic Ocean, East Pacific, Central Pacific (east of the International Dateline) and Southeast Pacific (east of 160°E) a Hurricane; in the Northwest Pacific (west of the International Dateline) a Typhoon; in the Southwest Pacific (west of 160°E) and Southeast Indian Ocean (east of 90°E) a Severe Tropical Cyclone; in the North Indian Ocean a Severe Cyclonic Storm; and in the Southwest Indian Ocean (west of 90°E) a Tropical Cyclone.

Friday, August 26, 2011

Bracing for Major Hurricane Irene

High above the Earth from aboard the International Space Station,
astronaut Ron Garan snapped this image of Hurricane Irene
as it passed over the Caribbean on Aug. 22, 2011.                  Credit: NASA
Major Hurricane Irene
Continues to Impact
Cruise Schedules


East Coast Bracing 
for Landfall

For the second weekend in a row, Irene, now a Major Hurricane, is dominating the weather and causing local governments and the entire travel industry to scramble to revise schedules to keep property and people safe from harm.
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...CENTER OF IRENE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
Warnings Issued for Hurricane Irene -- See this post for current warnings, location, hazards, and other updates

      CURRENT WARNINGS       TRAVEL ADVISORIES        StormScape LIVE    
 
Despite Hurricane Irene's weakening to a Category One status, it is still packing quite a punch and has local governments scrambling to keep property and residents safe.   The NHC is warning that all of the tropical cyclone Hazards:  Wind, heavy Rainfall, Storm Surge, Surf, and Tornadoes are forecast.

Hurricane of the Century


The GOES-13 satellite saw Hurricane Irene
on August 27, 2011 at 10:10 a.m. EDT
after it made landfall at 8 a.m. in Cape Lookout, NC.
Irene's outer bands had already extended into New England.
(Credit: NASA/NOAA GOES Project)

Click image for more dramatic images of Hurricane Irene
Many are referring to Hurricane Irene as the storm of the century.   Mandatory evacuations have begun for parts of the eastern seaboard of the United States.  The picture above, courtesy of NASA, shows why there is this great concern.   The hurricane is massive!  As we write this article, Irene is a Category Three Hurricane with winds in excess of 115 MPH.   Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 80 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 290 miles.

Ten States Declare Emergencies - Mandatory Evacuations Across the Region
Transportation Systems Shut Down

Irene will move northwest and approach the North Carolina Coast this weekend before continuing its journey north, skimming the Mid-Atlantic coast with possible landfall in New England.

Fifty-five million people are potentially in Hurricane Irene's path, from the Carolinas to Cape Cod on the U.S. East Coast, and tens of thousands are evacuating as cities including New York brace for the powerful storm to hit.

NYC Unprecedented Evacuation / Transit Shutdown

As powerful Hurricane Irene makes it way up the East Coast of the United States, New York City ordered nearly 300,000 people to evacuate flood-prone areas and subways.  The New York's Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) has begun a full system shutdownPhiladelphia and New Jersey will also shut down on Saturday.

It was the first time the nation's largest city was evacuated. Never before has the entire mass transit system been shuttered because of a storm.  New York city has not seen a storm of this magnitude in decades.

Mayor Michael Bloomberg said he was confident people would get out of the storm's way.
"Waiting until the last minute is not a smart thing to do," Bloomberg said. "This is life-threatening."

President Obama spoke with reporters from the farm where he is vacationing on an island off the Boston coast.  He will be leaving the area on Saturday well ahead of the storm.

"All indications point to this being a historic hurricane," 
"I cannot stress this highly enough. If you are in the projected path of this hurricane, you have to take precautions now. Don't wait. Don't delay," Obama said.


Cruise Ship Travel Alerts

This past week, many cruises had their itineraries altered to outrun the storm.   In most cases, port orders were changed or in some cases, Bahamas ports were swapped for Western Caribbean ports.

As the weekend approaches and the hurricane bears down on many of the homeports along the east coast, ships are racing to arrive ahead of the storm.  Several itineraries have been modified to cut the current cruise short, arriving in the homeport as much as a day early.  Some ships will delay arrivals until Monday. Departures for weekend cruises vary by port with some scheduled on time while others departing a day or more late. 

Ports impacted:  Baltimore, Bayonne New Jersey, Boston, New York, 

Travel Advisory Links:




Airline Travel Advisories

Major airlines -- including US Airways, American, United Airlines, Continental Airlines, Delta, JetBlue, Southwest Airlines and AirTran -- have dropped ticket change fees for passengers scheduled to fly to or from many cities along the East Coast this weekend. 

Airlines canceled more than 9,000 flights for the weekend and another 250 on Monday, according to the online flight tracking service Flightaware.com.

Check directly with your airline carrier for latest cancellation information



Additional Travel Woes
Transit systems in New York City, Philadelphia and New Jersey   shut down on Saturday.

Greyhound has canceled or delayed a number of routes because of the storm.

Hurricane Preparedness

Each year NHC, FEMA, and other government agencies host several events to raise awareness about the dangers of tropical storms and hurricanes.  See our Hurricane Zone for links to articles we published in conjunction with this year's Hurricane Preparedness Week as well as those from past years.  For those planning to sail this weekend, be sure to read Hurricane Preparedness for Cruisers

We will continue to monitor this major hurricane and post updates.  Hurricane Zone will point to the latest information.   We have provided several links which provide up to the minute news, forecasts, advisories.

Disaster Prevention should include:


"How To" guides for protecting your property from flooding & high winds. (FEMA)

Wednesday, July 27, 2011

Tropical Storm Don Forms in Gulf


Tropical Storm Don
Forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico
NHC issuing advisories on TS DON
System 90L (Caribbean Sea)


 TS Don Impacts Cruise Itineraries

Carnival Elation  (5 NT R/T Mobile)
departed Cozumel an hour early Wed

Carnival Imagination (4 NT R/T Miami)
Wed: Sea Day (was Cozumel); Thurs: Freeport (was Sea Day)

Elation, which is currently in the middle of a five-night voyage from Mobile, departed Cozumel an hour earlier than scheduled Wednesday. Imagination, which is sailing a four-night itinerary from Miami, traded a call on Cozumel for a sea day Wednesday, and today it will trade a scheduled sea day for a stop at Freeport.


Not the storm you are looking for?  Click Image or Here
 
400 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2011

...DON RAPIDLY WEAKENS TO A REMNANT LOW...THIS IS THE LAST
ADVISORY...
Early Wednesday morning on July 27, we began monitoring a thunderstorm area 50 miles northeast of Cancun.  Conditions appeared to be favorable for it to become a tropical depression within 24 hours.  At 4 PM CDT, NHC issued its first advisory for Tropical Storm Don after a hurricane hunter aircraft flew through the storm and measured winds at around 40 MPH.  This becomes the fourth named storm of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

On the forecast track, the center of TS Don should move through the southern and central Gulf of Mexico tonight and Thursday, approaching the coast of the northwestern Gulf of Mexico on Friday.  Some strengthening is predicted before it makes landfall.  After making landfall, the storm should lose strength and become a remnant by Sunday.
 
SAT JUL 30 2011
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.9N 98.8W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM W OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THE CIRCULATION OF DON IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE LATER TODAY
 
LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM


A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

Historical data for Tropical Storm Don:    Archive     Graphics Archive           
 
400 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2011
 ...TROPICAL STORM DON FORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO... 




Tropical Storm Resources (click links below)
TROPICAL STORM DONNational Hurricane Center
Atlantic Tropical Weather OutlookNational Weather Service
Atlantic Tropical Weather DiscussionHurricane Preparedness
Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook (ATL) Real-Time Hurricane Information
Active Storms  NOAA Satellites & Information
NASA: Latest Storm ImagesWMO Severe Weather Information Centre
Real-time Monitoring (Atlantic)The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
Real-time Weather SitesReal-Time Cruise Ship Tracking