Showing posts with label Nate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nate. Show all posts

Monday, June 1, 2020

2019 Hurricane Season in Review

No Retired Hurricanes for 2019
Due to Covid-19 Pandemic

Hurricane Dorian                             Courtesy: Fox News
Due to the Coronavirus pandemic, the annual week-long meeting of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO’s) hurricane committee was canceled.

Storm names are retired if they were so deadly or destructive that the future use of the name would be insensitive - otherwise names are reused by NOAA’s National Hurricane Center on a six-year cycle.

Replacement names, to be used in 2025, would have been announced. We will have to wait another year to find out what storms from the 2019 season will be retired.

There are some likely candidates for retirement when the WMO committee meets in 2021.  Hurricane Dorian, which made landfall in the Bahamas as a Category 5 hurricane, tops the list of possibilities.   It devastated the Bahamas, brought tropical storm conditions to the east coast of Florida, and impacted cruises resulting in one of the largest industry relief responses in its aftermath.

Tropical Storm Imelda never reached hurricane status but nonetheless it left its mark on Texas.  This slow moving storm dumped more than 40 inches of rain in East Texas.

Hurricane Lorenzo, another Category 5 storm, will be remembered as the easternmost Category 5 storm on record in the Atlantic.




The 2019 Atlantic hurricane season was the fourth consecutive year of above-average and damaging seasons dating back to 2016. It is tied with 1969 as the fourth-most active Atlantic hurricane season on record in terms of named storms.

Looking Back at 2019

The Atlantic season produced 18 named storms, including six hurricanes of which three were “major” (Category 3, 4 or 5). NOAA’s outlook called for 10-17 named storms, 5-9 hurricanes and 2-4 major hurricanes, and accurately predicted the overall activity of the season.

The only other period on record that produced four consecutive above-normal seasons was 1998-2001. Also this year, five tropical cyclones formed in the Gulf of Mexico, which ties a record with 2003 and 1957 for the most storms to form in that region. Of those, three — Barry, Imelda and Nestor — made landfall in the U.S.

In the chart below, the numbers in parenthesis are the averages, so you can easily see that the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season was well above average.  Read more (comprehensive coverage)

Atlantic Basin
Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000
Climatology (in parentheses)
NOAA 2019
Prediction
2019
Actual
Named Storms (NS) (12.0)10 - 1718
Hurricanes (H) (6.5)5 - 96
Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.0)2 - 43
Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (92.0)65-140130
Atlantic Hurricane Outlook & Seasonal Climate Summary Archive


The 2019 Pacific hurricane season was a near average season which produced nineteen named storms, though most were rather weak and short-lived. Only seven hurricanes formed, the fewest since 2010. The season had a rather slow start, with no tropical cyclones forming in the basin during the month of May for the first time since 2016, and the first time that no storms formed before the month of June since 2011.

In the chart below, the numbers in parenthesis are the averages, so you can easily see that the 2019 Pacific Hurricane Season was near normal.  Read more (comprehensive coverage)

East Pacific

Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000
Climatology (in parentheses)
NOAA 2019
Prediction
2019
Actual
Named Storms (NS) (9.6)15 - 2219
Hurricanes (H) (5.9)8 - 137
Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.3)4 - 84
Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (96.1) 75 - 14597

Measuring total seasonal activity: The Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index

An important measure of the total overall seasonal activity is the NOAA Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index, which accounts for the intensity and duration of named storms and hurricanes during the season.  According to NOAA’s hurricane season classifications, an ACE value above 117% of the 1950-2000 median reflects an above-normal season. An ACE value above 175% of the median reflects an exceptionally active (or hyperactive) season.

Hurricane Season Dates 

Hurricane season in the Atlantic begins June 1st and ends November 30th. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season begins May 15th and also ends November 30th.
Download the Tropical Cyclone Preparedness Guide (PDF)

Read entire series (click here)

More links and information about tropical storms and other weather conditions can be found in the Weather & Hurricane Zone tabs above.


If you live in, or plan to vacation in, an area where hurricanes are prevalent, please prepare in advance by reading our series.

Saturday, April 14, 2018

2017 Hurricane Season in Review

Four 2017 Hurricane Names Retired
Harvey, Irma, Maria, and Nate

3 Simultaneous Hurricanes - Katia, Irma, Jose (NOAA)
Due to the extensive damage caused in the United States and Caribbean last year, the World Meteorological Organization’s Region IV Hurricane Committee has officially retired these names. Storm names are retired if they were so deadly or destructive that the future use of the name would be insensitive - otherwise names are reused by NOAA’s National Hurricane Center on a six-year cycle. Replacement names, to be used in 2023, have also been announced.  Read more


Here's the reasoning behind the decision and what the new names will be.



The extremely active 2017 Atlantic hurricane season was one of the most destructive on record. Damage costs exceeded 250 billion dollars in the United States alone, while recovery for the worst hit Caribbean islands such as Dominica may take years. Several hundred people died, and the lives of millions were impacted.

Looking Back at 2017

The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season was a hyperactive and catastrophic hurricane season, featuring 17 named storms, 10 hurricanes and 6 major hurricanes – ranking it alongside 1936 as the fifth-most active season since records began in 1851. The season also featured both the highest total accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) and the highest number of major hurricanes since 2005.

In the chart below, the numbers in parenthesis are the averages, so you can easily see that the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season was well above average.  Read more (comprehensive coverage)

Atlantic Basin
Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000
Climatology (in parentheses)
NOAA 2017
Prediction
2017
Actual
Named Storms (NS) (12.0)11 - 1717
Hurricanes (H) (6.5)5 - 910
Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.0)2 - 46
Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (92.0)63 - 103224

Atlantic Hurricane Outlook & Seasonal Climate Summary Archive


The 2017 Pacific hurricane season was a moderately active Pacific hurricane season, featuring eighteen named storms, nine hurricanes, and four major hurricanes, though the season was significantly less active than the previous three seasons. The season saw near-average activity in terms of ACE, in stark contrast to the extremely active seasons in 2014, 2015, and 2016; and for the first time since 2012, no tropical cyclones formed in the Central Pacific basin. However, for the third year in a row, the season featured above-average activity in July, with the ACE value being the fifth highest for the month.

East Pacific

Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000
Climatology (in parentheses)
NOAA 2017
Prediction
2017
Actual
Named Storms (NS) (9.6)14 - 2018
Hurricanes (H) (5.9)6 - 119
Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.3)3 - 74
Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) (96.1) 75 - 145100

Measuring total seasonal activity: The Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index

An important measure of the total overall seasonal activity is the NOAA Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index, which accounts for the intensity and duration of named storms and hurricanes during the season.  According to NOAA’s hurricane season classifications, an ACE value above 117% of the 1950-2000 median reflects an above-normal season. An ACE value above 175% of the median reflects an exceptionally active (or hyperactive) season.

Hurricane Season Dates 

Hurricane season in the Atlantic begins June 1st and ends November 30th. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season begins May 15th and also ends November 30th.
Download the Tropical Cyclone Preparedness Guide (PDF)
Watch for our 2018 Hurricane Preparedness Series.





@ChrisPappinMCC

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Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Tropical Storm Nate in Gulf

15th Tropical Depression 
Forms in the Gulf of Mexico

Strengthens into Tropical Storm Nate


400 PM CDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...NATE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES FARTHER
INLAND...
 
Tropical Storm Nate is heading towards the Mexican coast from the Gulf of Mexico.   It is doubtful that it will produce needed rain over Texas.  We will monitor this storm as it moves westward towards land.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
NATE WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND ACROSS THE MEXICAN STATE OF
VERACRUZ TONIGHT.
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 97.6W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSW OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES
Cruise lines are monitoring the tropical storms in the Atlantic Basin for potential impact to this weekend's cruises.

Current Watches & Warnings
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NATE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT
AND DISSIPATE BY MONDAY. 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ.

WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE COULD OCCUR OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS NEAR THE CENTER OF NATE.

STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER
MADE LANDFALL WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

Historical Data:         Storm Archive            Graphics Archive