Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Tropical Storm Nicole Produces Heavy Rains

TAFB Experimental Graphicast 9/29/10
NICOLE - SHORTEST TROPICAL STORM
 THIS SEASON

Last NHC advisory issued on NICOLE

Nicole is the shortest tropical storm of this season - lasting only six hours after being named.  It wasn't your typical storm with well-formed circular center; instead it was elongated.

Tropical Depression Sixteen formed over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday, September 28th around 11 AM EDT prompting tropical storm warnings for Florida, Cayman Islands, Cuba, and the Bahamas.  The storm has already dissipated and the NHC has issued its last advisory.  Heavy rains and wind are still expected.

UPDATE:  500 PM EDT WED SEP 29 2010
 ...NICOLE DISSIPATES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...LARGE AREA OF
HEAVY RAINS PERSISTS... 
 

 THE GOVERNMENTS OF CUBA...GRAND CAYMAN...AND THE BAHAMAS HAVE DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF NICOLE SHOULD
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE...BUT A STRONG NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WITH GALE FORCE WINDS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE SOUTHEAST
U.S. COAST TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. 
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
 
RAINFALL...NICOLE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...JAMAICA...AND CUBA.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF CUBA AND JAMAICA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  STORM TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN FLORIDA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE CENTRAL AND 
NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
 
WIND...WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN
CUBA...THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...AND ADJACENT WATERS
TONIGHT. 
  
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  ALTHOUGH NICOLE HAS DISSIPATED...THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON DC IS ISSUING
STORM SUMMARIES ON THE DEVELOPING NON-TROPICAL LOW UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDSCCNS5 AND WMO HEADER ACUS45 KWBC.  ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO
HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

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